What it means for leaders

The frontier keeps moving every few months, and the lead changes hands between a small group of labs. Avoid locking into one model provider; design for switching models as the best option changes.

What would change the reading: How quickly each new frontier model is matched by others.

The trend

February 24, 2023September 22, 2026

Every reading

DateValueChangeDetailSource
168.8 points±0.0 pointsClaude Opus 5.5Source
168.8 points+2.3 pointsGPT-6 AstraSource
166.5 points+2.6 pointsClaude Fable 5.1Source
163.9 points+0.5 pointsClaude Opus 5Source
163.4 points+0.5 pointsClaude Fable 5Source
162.9 points+3.3 pointsGPT-5.5 ProSource
159.6 points+2.5 pointsGPT-5.4 ProSource
157.1 points+0.8 pointsGPT-5.3 CodexSource
156.3 points+3.2 pointsGPT-5.2 ProSource
153.1 points+2.5 pointsGemini 3 ProSource
150.6 points+0.6 pointsGPT-5 ProSource
150.0 points+2.7 pointsGPT-5Source
147.3 points+0.6 pointso3-proSource
146.7 points+2.7 pointso3Source
144.0 points+2.3 pointsGemini 2.5 Pro (Mar 2025)Source
141.7 points+6.0 pointso1Source
135.7 points+5.7 pointso1-miniSource
130.0 points+1.0 pointsClaude 3.5 SonnetSource
129.0 points+1.7 pointsGPT-4o (May 2024)Source
127.3 points+0.4 pointsGPT-4 Turbo (Apr 2024)Source
126.9 points+0.5 pointsClaude 3 OpusSource
126.4 points+0.7 pointsGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023)Source
125.7 points+15.7 pointsGPT-4 (Mar 2023)Source
110.0 points—LLaMA-65BSource

Definition and method

What it measures
The highest Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) score of any model released by the date shown. The ECI combines results across many benchmarks into one scale, so models tested on different benchmarks can be compared.
Population
AI models scored by Epoch AI
Updated
When new models are scored

Caveats

  • Epoch recalculates scores as new benchmark results arrive, so earlier values can shift slightly.
  • Benchmarks measure capability on tests, not value in your workflows.

Cite this

Enterprise AI in Numbers, "Capability of the best AI model (Epoch Capabilities Index)", https://lucianoayres.com/ai-brief/data/frontier-ai-capability/, retrieved October 25, 2026. Data: Epoch AI, Capabilities and benchmarking.

Download every indicator (CSV) · Methodology