What it means for leaders

Online retail keeps growing slowly as a share of all sales. AI shopping agents would first change how that online share is won, so compete on product data quality and agent-readable catalogues.

What would change the reading: Acceleration in the share as AI assistants start completing purchases.

The trend

2019 Q12026 Q2

Every reading

DateValueChangeSource
17.1%+0.1 pointsSource
17.0%+0.3 pointsSource
16.7%+0.3 pointsSource
16.4%+0.1 pointsSource
16.3%+0.3 pointsSource
16.0%−0.2 pointsSource
16.2%±0.0 pointsSource
16.2%+0.1 pointsSource
16.1%+0.2 pointsSource
15.9%+0.4 pointsSource
15.5%+0.1 pointsSource
15.4%+0.1 pointsSource
15.3%+0.3 pointsSource
15.0%+0.4 pointsSource
14.6%+0.1 pointsSource
14.5%+0.3 pointsSource
14.2%−0.2 pointsSource
14.4%−0.2 pointsSource
14.6%+0.1 pointsSource
14.5%−0.1 pointsSource
14.6%−0.3 pointsSource
14.9%−0.1 pointsSource
15.0%+0.1 pointsSource
14.9%−1.4 pointsSource
16.3%+4.4 pointsSource
11.9%+0.7 pointsSource
11.2%+0.4 pointsSource
10.8%+0.5 pointsSource
10.3%+0.3 pointsSource
10.0%—Source

Definition and method

What it measures
E-commerce retail sales as a percentage of total retail sales in the quarter, seasonally adjusted.
Population
US retail sales
Updated
Quarterly
Source
US Census Bureau, Quarterly E-Commerce Report (via FRED) · Public domain (US government work)

Caveats

  • Covers retail trade only, not services or travel.
  • Quarters are revised in later releases; this series keeps the first published figure.

Cite this

Enterprise AI in Numbers, "E-commerce share of total US retail sales", https://lucianoayres.com/ai-brief/data/us-ecommerce-share/, retrieved October 25, 2026. Data: US Census Bureau, Quarterly E-Commerce Report (via FRED).

Download every indicator (CSV) · Methodology